Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.510788 0.678006 0.869664 1.102276 1.373695 1.677308 2.039499
2025-02-16 0.230658 0.405651 0.641649 0.967240 1.389454 1.904287 2.565195
2025-02-23 0.107626 0.266414 0.522467 0.921798 1.488853 2.229121 3.232445
2025-03-02 0.043037 0.169560 0.422061 0.868823 1.559219 2.515432 3.870588
2025-03-09 0.020307 0.130491 0.396869 0.917032 1.771099 3.002325 4.798589
2025-03-16 0.006413 0.089690 0.347421 0.909578 1.892624 3.367155 5.579126
2025-03-23 0.002408 0.074645 0.345943 0.984716 2.148216 3.937051 6.666228
2025-03-30 0.000507 0.058961 0.333687 1.034375 2.363294 4.455591 7.699082
2025-04-06 0.000012 0.043512 0.311312 1.056580 2.530294 4.906495 8.648386
2025-04-13 NaN 0.027226 0.270478 1.026941 2.599390 5.205708 9.383803
2025-04-20 NaN 0.018594 0.249658 1.037118 2.738656 5.618062 10.295102
2025-04-27 NaN 0.012471 0.232004 1.049814 2.881268 6.038922 11.228144
2025-05-04 NaN 0.005842 0.194878 1.002046 2.905372 6.273895 11.899399
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002224 0.163142 0.957780 2.930064 6.509364 12.578113
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000903 0.147552 0.957737 3.045055 6.901011 13.508198
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000163 0.125580 0.927424 3.090848 7.173852 14.258347
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000084 0.129218 0.991475 3.349015 7.825360 15.619640
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000003 0.117091 0.991039 3.461540 8.223039 16.585515
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000001 0.125241 1.074855 3.771720 8.980185 18.138416
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.126445 1.129901 4.017932 9.628496 19.526914
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.120943 1.154777 4.194897 10.156590 20.730637
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.104435 1.123989 4.237117 10.441299 21.545782
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.097500 1.135185 4.380295 10.912896 22.670941